Monday, 5 September 2011
Being slightly wary that, like many owners I suffer from the dreadful infliction of falling in love with ones own horses, I genuinely believe that Caldermud has a great chance today. His overall profile looks somewhat sketchy but, if you take away the experimental races (Chepstow didn't handle the undulations) and the ones on the all-weather (hates Kempton and Southwell especially), and concentrate on those races where he has had his conditions (cut in the ground, galloping track) then all of a sudden he begins to look a model of consistency! We believed when we bought him that he was a sprinter as his best run as a 2 y-old came when running R Woody to 1/2 length at Goodwood over 6f. I now think that 7f is his optimum trip on soft ground and that he'll probably get a mile. If you look at his runs at Ayr (6f good-soft), Yarmouth (6f soft) and Lingfield (7 1/2f good) he stays on to good effect each time. The last of these at Lingfield he was particularly unlucky in running as he was constantly denied a run until it was too late and finished full of running. There should be no excuses today and I will be very disappointed if he is not competitive off of this mark at around 8/1. I'm having a decent ew wager.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment